2024 United States Senate election in New Jersey

The 2024 United States Senate election in New Jersey will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of New Jersey. Primary elections will take place on June 4, 2024.[1] The seat is currently held by Democrat Bob Menendez, who was appointed to the Senate in January 2006 and won his first full term the same year.

2024 United States Senate election in New Jersey

November 5, 2024
 
Party Democratic Republican

Incumbent U.S. senator

Bob Menendez
Democratic



The election has drawn attention due to Menendez's indictment for federal corruption charges in 2023. Menendez has stated he will not resign and is expected to seek re-election.[2][3]

Democratic primary

Declared

Filed paperwork

Publicly expressed interest

Potential

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Kyle Jasey
State legislators
Joe Signorello (withdrawn)
Statewide officials
Organizations

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Bob Menendez (D) $10,760,881.11 $2,426,293.11 $8,553,019.60
Andy Kim (D) $2,123,798.36 $384,856.23 $1,901,474.72
Kyle Fort Jasey (D) $17,405 $1,157.28 $16,247.72
Joe Signorello (D)[lower-alpha 2] $60,060.09 $9,443.34 $86,087.12
Source: Federal Election Commission[35]

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]
Margin
of error
Bob
Menendez
Andy
Kim
Kyle
Jasey
Tammy
Murphy
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[upper-alpha 1] October 3–4, 2023 502 (LV) ± 4.4% 5% 42% 19% 34%
502 (LV) ± 4.4% 10% 63% 28%
Data for Progress (D) September 29 – October 3, 2023 551 (LV) ± 4.4% 9% 48% 3% 40%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]
Margin
of error
Josh
Gottheimer
Kyle
Jasey
Andy
Kim
Bob
Menendez
Tammy
Murphy
Frank
Pallone
Teresa
Ruiz
Mikie
Sherrill
Undecided
Data for Progress (D) September 29 – October 3, 2023 551 (LV) ± 4.4% 6% 1% 27% 6% 4% 6% 1% 20% 29%

Republican primary

Declared

Publicly expressed interest

Potential

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Christine Serrano Glassner
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
Local officials

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Shirley Maia-Cusick (R)[lower-alpha 5] $301,300.76 $296,647.43 $4,653.33
Source: Federal Election Commission[35]

Independents

Declared

  • Nicholas Carducci, software engineer[36]

Green convention

Declared

  • Christina Khalil, social worker (switched from Democratic)[17][18]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[47] Likely D September 26, 2023
Inside Elections[48] Likely D September 22, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[49] Safe D January 24, 2023
Elections Daily[50] Safe D May 4, 2023

Polling

Hypothetical polling
Bob Menendez vs. Chris Christie
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]
Margin
of error
Bob
Menendez (D)
Chris
Christie (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[upper-alpha 2] September 26–27, 2023 565 (V) 24% 27% 41% 8%
Bob Menendez vs. generic Republican
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]
Margin
of error
Bob
Menendez (D)
Generic
Republican
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[upper-alpha 2] September 26–27, 2023 565 (V) 20% 42% 25% 13%
Andy Kim vs. Chris Christie
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]
Margin
of error
Andy
Kim (D)
Chris
Christie (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[upper-alpha 2] September 26–27, 2023 565 (V) 46% 20% 23% 10%
Andy Kim vs. generic Republican
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 3]
Margin
of error
Andy
Kim (D)
Generic
Republican
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[upper-alpha 2] September 26–27, 2023 565 (V) 44% 32% 5% 18%

Notes

  1. Has not declared his candidacy.
  2. Withdrawn candidate
  3. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  4. In New Jersey, the State Treasurer is appointed by the governor; unlike in other states, it is not an elected position.
  5. Withdrawn candidate
Partisan clients
  1. Poll commissioned by End Citizens United and Let America Vote, which support Kim
  2. This poll was sponsored by VoteVets.org, which suppports Kim.

References

  1. "2024 State Primary Election Dates". www.ncsl.org. Retrieved May 13, 2023.
  2. "Menendez Accused of Brazen Bribery Plot, Taking Cash and Gold". New York Times. September 22, 2023. Retrieved September 22, 2023.
  3. Cohen, Luc; Zengerle, Patricia; Goudsward, Andrew; Cohen, Luc; Zengerle, Patricia (September 23, 2023). "US Senator Menendez charged with bribery, says he will not resign". Reuters. Retrieved September 23, 2023.
  4. Fox, Joey (September 24, 2023). "Larry Hamm will make second bid for U.S. Senate". New Jersey Globe. Retrieved September 24, 2023.
  5. Friedman, Matt (August 1, 2023). "Son of New Jersey lawmaker files to challenge Menendez in Democratic primary". Politico. Retrieved August 2, 2023.
  6. McCarthy, Mia (September 23, 2023). "Democrat Andy Kim announces bid to unseat Menendez in the Senate". Politico. Retrieved September 23, 2023.
  7. "FEC FORM 2 FILING FEC-1709209".
  8. "FEC FORM 2 FILING FEC-1709209".
  9. Everett, Burgess (October 5, 2022). "Senate Dems face brutal 2024 map with at least eight undecided incumbents". Politico. Retrieved October 5, 2022. Robert Menendez of New Jersey said it's a 'long time from here to 2024, but I have every intention of running again.'
  10. Wildstein, David (September 28, 2023). "Latina group floats Judge Esther Salas as possible Senate candidate". New Jersey Globe. Retrieved September 28, 2023.
  11. Fox, Joey (September 22, 2023). "With Menendez under indictment, what's going to happen to his Senate seat?". New Jersey Globe. Retrieved September 22, 2023.
  12. Wildstein, David (September 26, 2023). "Tammy Murphy is a possible U.S. Senate candidate". New Jersey Globe. Retrieved September 26, 2023.
  13. Wolf, Stephen (September 26, 2023). "Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 9/26". Daily Kos. Retrieved September 26, 2023.
  14. McDonald, Terrence T. (February 28, 2023). "A Democratic mayor wants to run against Sen. Menendez. Will the party let him?". New Jersey Monitor. Retrieved February 28, 2023.
  15. Wildstein, David (July 13, 2023). "It's official: Joe Signorello challenging Kean in NJ-7 House race". New Jersey Globe. Retrieved July 13, 2023.
  16. Fox, Joey (October 12, 2023). "Signorello Drops NJ-7 Campaign, Citing Fundraising Difficulties". New Jersey Globe. Retrieved October 12, 2023.
  17. "Menendez gets a primary opponent". New Jersey Globe. November 14, 2022.
  18. "NJ mayor Christine Serrano Glassner seeks GOP nod vs. Bob Menendez". The Record. September 20, 2023. Retrieved September 23, 2023.
  19. Mutnick, Ally; Ferris, Sarah; Wu, Nicholas (October 5, 2023). "New Jersey politics is a notorious mess. It's about to hit new levels of nasty". Politico. Retrieved October 9, 2023. One House member who doesn't appear to be going anywhere is Rep. Frank Pallone (D-N.J.). He said in an interview that his focus was on taking back the House majority and re-securing the chairmanship of the Energy and Commerce committee.
  20. "Sherrill says she isn't running to replace Menendez". Punchbowl News. September 29, 2023. Retrieved September 29, 2023.
  21. Friedman, Matt (August 13, 2023). "Bob Menendez tests Democrats' loyalty as feds target him again". Politico. Retrieved September 22, 2023.
  22. Suta, Ricky (October 19, 2023). "Mila Jasey still backing her son's U.S. Senate bid, even if Tammy Murphy joins the race". New Jersey Globe. Retrieved October 22, 2023. "I'm supporting him," Jasey said. " Blood is thicker than anything else."
  23. Wildstein, David (September 26, 2023). "Carol Muphy endorses Andy Kim for U.S. Senate". New Jersey Globe. Retrieved September 26, 2023.
  24. Wildstein, David (September 23, 2023). "Singleton backs Kim for U.S. Senate, expresses interest in NJ-3 House seat". New Jersey Globe. Retrieved September 23, 2023.
  25. Mark, Ally (October 4, 2023). "Asian American Action Fund Endorses U.S. Congressman Andy Kim for New Jersey's U.S. Senate Seat in 2024". Asian American Action Fund. Archived from the original on October 17, 2023. Retrieved October 17, 2023.
  26. Fox, Joey (September 25, 2023). "End Citizens United backs Kim for Senate". New Jersey Globe. Retrieved September 25, 2023.
  27. McIntire, Mary Ellen (September 25, 2023). "Menendez expects to win 'biggest fight yet,' defends seized cash". Roll Call. Retrieved September 26, 2023.
  28. Wolf, Stephen (September 25, 2023). "Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 9/25". Daily Kos. Retrieved September 25, 2023.
  29. author "Foreign Policy for America Action Network Endorses Rep. Andy Kim (S-NJ) for Election" (HTML) (Press release). Washington, D.C.: Foreign Policy for America Action Network. October 5, 2023. Retrieved October 6, 2023.
  30. Moulitsas, Markos (September 27, 2023). "Daily Kos calls on Bob Menendez to resign, endorses Andy Kim for Senate". Daily Kos. Retrieved September 27, 2023.
  31. Wildstein, David (September 29, 2023). "Andy Kim shows momentum in first week as U.S. Senate candidate". New Jersey Globe. Retrieved September 29, 2023.
  32. "Support Pro-Israel Candidates". AIPAC PAC. Retrieved April 7, 2023.
  33. "LCV Action Fund Announces First Round of Congressional Endorsements". League of Conservation Voters. Retrieved July 27, 2023.
  34. Fox, Joey (April 24, 2023). "Centrist Whitman-led group backs Signorello for U.S. Senate". New Jersey Globe. Retrieved April 24, 2023.
  35. "2024 Election United States Senate - New Jersey". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved October 18, 2023.
  36. Van Vliet, John (August 11, 2022). "Cruz Wants to Challenge Menendez". Insider NJ. Retrieved November 15, 2022. [Cruz] has become the first Republican to file to run against [Menendez]...An independent candidate, Nick Carducci, has also thrown his hat into the ring
  37. Wildstein, David (September 18, 2023). "Serrano Glassner Announces Bid To Unseat Menendez". New Jersey Globe. Retrieved September 18, 2023.
  38. "Gregg Mele takes on Robert Menendez in 2024 US Senate Race in NJ". Fox 59. June 29, 2023. Retrieved October 12, 2023.
  39. Wildstein, David (August 31, 2023). "Former N.J. State Treasurer mulls U.S. Senate run against Menendez". New Jersey Globe. Retrieved August 31, 2023.
  40. Rooney, Matt (September 23, 2023). "Van Drew says he'll consider a U.S. Senate challenge to Menendez". Save Jersey. Retrieved September 23, 2023.
  41. Fox, Joey (May 25, 2023). "Retiring but flush with cash, Rooney hints at potential future comeback". New Jersey Globe. Retrieved June 12, 2023.
  42. "Brazilian senatorial candidate from NJ participates in pro-Bolsonaro event in Massachusetts". Brazilian Times. October 26, 2022.
  43. Wildstein, David (October 12, 2023). "Maia-Cusick ends Senate bid, will try to flip Andy Kim's House seat in NJ-3". New Jersey Globe. Retrieved October 12, 2023.
  44. Gregorian, Dareh (September 24, 2023). "Chris Christie rules out running for indicted New Jersey Sen. Bob Menendez's seat". NBC News. Retrieved September 24, 2023.
  45. Wildstein, David (September 19, 2023). "Kean Endorses Serrano Glassner For U.S. Senate". New Jersey Globe. Retrieved September 19, 2023.
  46. Fox, Joey (September 25, 2023). "Serrano Glassner gets heap of endorsements from Morris County". New Jersey Globe. Retrieved September 25, 2023.
  47. "2024 Senate Race ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 25, 2023.
  48. "Senate Ratings". Inside Elections. January 6, 2023. Retrieved September 22, 2023.
  49. "2024 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 24, 2023. Retrieved February 13, 2023.
  50. "Election Ratings". Elections Daily. August 1, 2023. Retrieved August 2, 2023.
Official campaign websites
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